Za čim zvona zvone - prilog razumevanju zavisnosti pandemije i globalne trgovinske razmene
For what the bell tolls: A contribution to understanding dependence of the pandemic and global trade
Abstract
Izbijanje pandemije COVID-19 značajno je smanjilo i strukturno promenilo i veličinu i tokove međunarodne trgovine tokom 2020. i 2021. Iako je efekat zaraze na globalnu trgovinu očigledno negativan iz više razloga koji su elaborirani u radu, smatramo da je to u stvari evoluciona, očekivana i neizbežna posledica samog procesa globalizacije. Među ključnim trendovima koji utiču na sadašnjost i budućnost međunarodne trgovine, otprilike polovina njih je potpuno nezavisna, a druga polovina u najboljem slučaju poluzavisna od same pandemije. Drugim rečima, čini se da zvona zvone za pogrešnog osumnjičenog, utoliko što su ova dva fenomena sva je prilika kointegrisana, da i ne spominjemo ideološku i operativnu konfuziju u pozadini nedavno rasprostranjenih nastojanja da se trgovinskom politikom istovremeno postigne nekoliko netrgovinskih ciljeva sumnjive kompatibilnosti. Bez obzira na sive oblake ispred i iznad nas, neke mediteranske ekonomije - ako se pokažu sposobne i dovoljno fleksibilne - mogle... bi na posletku postati nesuđeni laureati utešnih ekonomskih nagrada.
The outburst of COVID-19 pandemics has heavily contracted and structurally altered both the size and the flows of international trade throughout 2020 and 2021. Even though contagion effect on global trade is clearly a negative one for a number of reasons elaborated in the paper, we venture to argue that this is in fact an evolutionary, expected and unavoidable consequence of the globalisation process itself. Among the key trends affecting the present and future of the international trade, roughly half of them are fully independent and the other half at best semi-dependent from the pandemics itself. In other words, it appears that the bell tolls for the wrong suspect, in as much as the two phenomena might be coextensive, not to mention the ideological and operational confusion behind recently widespread deliberations to deploy trade policies in order to simultaneously achieve several non-trade objectives of dubious compatibility. Notwithstanding the grim prospects on the horizon, some M...editerranean economies, if proven capable, may yet turn out to be the unintended winners of the silver lining.
Keywords:
međunarodna trgovina / globalni lanci snabdevanje / COVID-19 / (de)globalizacija / international trade / global supply chains / COVID-19 / (de)globalisationSource:
Poslovna ekonomija, 2022, 16, 1, 21-31Publisher:
- Univerzitet Edukons - Fakultet poslovne ekonomije, Sremska Kamenica
Collections
Institution/Community
Fakultet poslovne ekonomijeTY - JOUR AU - Malović, Marko AU - Petrović, Vesna PY - 2022 UR - https://redun.educons.edu.rs/handle/123456789/463 AB - Izbijanje pandemije COVID-19 značajno je smanjilo i strukturno promenilo i veličinu i tokove međunarodne trgovine tokom 2020. i 2021. Iako je efekat zaraze na globalnu trgovinu očigledno negativan iz više razloga koji su elaborirani u radu, smatramo da je to u stvari evoluciona, očekivana i neizbežna posledica samog procesa globalizacije. Među ključnim trendovima koji utiču na sadašnjost i budućnost međunarodne trgovine, otprilike polovina njih je potpuno nezavisna, a druga polovina u najboljem slučaju poluzavisna od same pandemije. Drugim rečima, čini se da zvona zvone za pogrešnog osumnjičenog, utoliko što su ova dva fenomena sva je prilika kointegrisana, da i ne spominjemo ideološku i operativnu konfuziju u pozadini nedavno rasprostranjenih nastojanja da se trgovinskom politikom istovremeno postigne nekoliko netrgovinskih ciljeva sumnjive kompatibilnosti. Bez obzira na sive oblake ispred i iznad nas, neke mediteranske ekonomije - ako se pokažu sposobne i dovoljno fleksibilne - mogle bi na posletku postati nesuđeni laureati utešnih ekonomskih nagrada. AB - The outburst of COVID-19 pandemics has heavily contracted and structurally altered both the size and the flows of international trade throughout 2020 and 2021. Even though contagion effect on global trade is clearly a negative one for a number of reasons elaborated in the paper, we venture to argue that this is in fact an evolutionary, expected and unavoidable consequence of the globalisation process itself. Among the key trends affecting the present and future of the international trade, roughly half of them are fully independent and the other half at best semi-dependent from the pandemics itself. In other words, it appears that the bell tolls for the wrong suspect, in as much as the two phenomena might be coextensive, not to mention the ideological and operational confusion behind recently widespread deliberations to deploy trade policies in order to simultaneously achieve several non-trade objectives of dubious compatibility. Notwithstanding the grim prospects on the horizon, some Mediterranean economies, if proven capable, may yet turn out to be the unintended winners of the silver lining. PB - Univerzitet Edukons - Fakultet poslovne ekonomije, Sremska Kamenica T2 - Poslovna ekonomija T1 - Za čim zvona zvone - prilog razumevanju zavisnosti pandemije i globalne trgovinske razmene T1 - For what the bell tolls: A contribution to understanding dependence of the pandemic and global trade EP - 31 IS - 1 SP - 21 VL - 16 DO - 10.5937/poseko21-37332 UR - conv_623 ER -
@article{ author = "Malović, Marko and Petrović, Vesna", year = "2022", abstract = "Izbijanje pandemije COVID-19 značajno je smanjilo i strukturno promenilo i veličinu i tokove međunarodne trgovine tokom 2020. i 2021. Iako je efekat zaraze na globalnu trgovinu očigledno negativan iz više razloga koji su elaborirani u radu, smatramo da je to u stvari evoluciona, očekivana i neizbežna posledica samog procesa globalizacije. Među ključnim trendovima koji utiču na sadašnjost i budućnost međunarodne trgovine, otprilike polovina njih je potpuno nezavisna, a druga polovina u najboljem slučaju poluzavisna od same pandemije. Drugim rečima, čini se da zvona zvone za pogrešnog osumnjičenog, utoliko što su ova dva fenomena sva je prilika kointegrisana, da i ne spominjemo ideološku i operativnu konfuziju u pozadini nedavno rasprostranjenih nastojanja da se trgovinskom politikom istovremeno postigne nekoliko netrgovinskih ciljeva sumnjive kompatibilnosti. Bez obzira na sive oblake ispred i iznad nas, neke mediteranske ekonomije - ako se pokažu sposobne i dovoljno fleksibilne - mogle bi na posletku postati nesuđeni laureati utešnih ekonomskih nagrada., The outburst of COVID-19 pandemics has heavily contracted and structurally altered both the size and the flows of international trade throughout 2020 and 2021. Even though contagion effect on global trade is clearly a negative one for a number of reasons elaborated in the paper, we venture to argue that this is in fact an evolutionary, expected and unavoidable consequence of the globalisation process itself. Among the key trends affecting the present and future of the international trade, roughly half of them are fully independent and the other half at best semi-dependent from the pandemics itself. In other words, it appears that the bell tolls for the wrong suspect, in as much as the two phenomena might be coextensive, not to mention the ideological and operational confusion behind recently widespread deliberations to deploy trade policies in order to simultaneously achieve several non-trade objectives of dubious compatibility. Notwithstanding the grim prospects on the horizon, some Mediterranean economies, if proven capable, may yet turn out to be the unintended winners of the silver lining.", publisher = "Univerzitet Edukons - Fakultet poslovne ekonomije, Sremska Kamenica", journal = "Poslovna ekonomija", title = "Za čim zvona zvone - prilog razumevanju zavisnosti pandemije i globalne trgovinske razmene, For what the bell tolls: A contribution to understanding dependence of the pandemic and global trade", pages = "31-21", number = "1", volume = "16", doi = "10.5937/poseko21-37332", url = "conv_623" }
Malović, M.,& Petrović, V.. (2022). Za čim zvona zvone - prilog razumevanju zavisnosti pandemije i globalne trgovinske razmene. in Poslovna ekonomija Univerzitet Edukons - Fakultet poslovne ekonomije, Sremska Kamenica., 16(1), 21-31. https://doi.org/10.5937/poseko21-37332 conv_623
Malović M, Petrović V. Za čim zvona zvone - prilog razumevanju zavisnosti pandemije i globalne trgovinske razmene. in Poslovna ekonomija. 2022;16(1):21-31. doi:10.5937/poseko21-37332 conv_623 .
Malović, Marko, Petrović, Vesna, "Za čim zvona zvone - prilog razumevanju zavisnosti pandemije i globalne trgovinske razmene" in Poslovna ekonomija, 16, no. 1 (2022):21-31, https://doi.org/10.5937/poseko21-37332 ., conv_623 .